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Pulak Agarwal

dblp:294/1622 · DBLP profile ↗
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1ranked-venue papers
0as first author
1since 2021 · last 2021
—ORCID · none

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 1 · 1 since 2021Graphics, computer vision, multimedia, augmented reality and games · 1 · 1 since 2021

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Interdisciplinary, comprehensive, and emerging computing
1 paper
Medical and health informatics · 67% Computational science and engineering · 33%

Topics — the 3 heaviest of 3, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Medical and health informatics › public health › public health informatics
COVID-19 forecasting
0.512021
DeepCOVID: An Operational Deep Learning-driven Framework for Explainable Real-time COVID-19 Forecasting · AAAI 2021
Medical and health informatics › public health › public health informatics
epidemic forecasting
0.512021
DeepCOVID: An Operational Deep Learning-driven Framework for Explainable Real-time COVID-19 Forecasting · AAAI 2021
Computational science and engineering
uncertainty quantification
0.512021
DeepCOVID: An Operational Deep Learning-driven Framework for Explainable Real-time COVID-19 Forecasting · AAAI 2021

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

uncertainty propagation · 0.5deep learning · 0.5
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2021 DeepCOVID: An Operational Deep Learning-driven Framework for Explainable Real-time COVID-19 Forecasting
abstract
How do we forecast an emerging pandemic in real time in a purely data-driven manner? How to leverage rich heterogeneous data based on various signals such as mobility, testing, and/or disease exposure for forecasting? How to handle noisy data and generate uncertainties in the forecast? In this paper, we present DeepCOVID, an operational deep learning framework designed for real-time COVID-19 forecasting. DeepCOVID works well with sparse data and can handle noisy heterogeneous data signals by propagating the uncertainty from the data in a principled manner resulting in meaningful uncertainties in the forecast. The deployed framework also consists of modules for both real-time and retrospective exploratory analysis to enable interpretation of the forecasts. Results from real-time predictions (featured on the CDC website and FiveThirtyEight.com) since April 2020 indicates that our approach is competitive among the methods in the COVID-19 Forecast Hub, especially for short-term predictions.
Alexander Rodríguez, Anika Tabassum, Jiaming Cui, Jiajia Xie, Javen Ho, Pulak Agarwal, Bijaya Adhikari, B. Aditya Prakash
AAAI6