This article presents a family of Stochastic Cartographic Occupancy Prediction Engines (SCOPEs) that enable mobile robots to predict the future states of complex dynamic environments. They do this by accounting for the motion of the robot itself, the motion of dynamic objects, and the geometry of static objects in the scene, and they generate a range of possible future states of the environment. These prediction engines are software-optimized for real-time performance for navigation in crowded dynamic scenes, achieving up to 89 times faster inference speed and 8 times less memory usage than other state-of-the-art engines. Three simulated and real-world datasets collected by different robot models are used to demonstrate that these proposed prediction algorithms are able to achieve more accurate and robust stochastic prediction performance than other algorithms. Furthermore, a series of simulation and hardware navigation experiments demonstrate that the proposed predictive uncertainty-aware navigation framework with these stochastic prediction engines is able to improve the safe navigation performance of current state-of-the-art model- and learning-based control policies.

The increased deployment of multi-robot systems (MRS) in various fields has led to the need to analyze systemlevel performance. However, creating consistent metrics for MRS is challenging due to the wide range of team and task parameters, such as the number of robots and the size of the environment. This paper presents a new analytical framework for MRS based on dimensionless variable analysis that effectively condenses the complex relationships between the team and task parameters that influence MRS performance into a manageable set of dimensionless variables. Then we use these dimensionless variables to fit a predictive parametric model of team performance. We apply our methodology to two MRS applications: Multi-Robot Multi-Target Tracking (MR-MTT) and Multi-Agent Path Finding (MAPF). The application of dimensionless variable analysis to MRS offers a promising method for MRS analysis that effectively reduces complexity, improves understanding of system behavior, and can inform the design and management of future MRS deployments.

This article proposes a novel learning-based control policy with strong generalizability to new environments that enables a mobile robot to navigate autonomously through spaces filled with both static obstacles and dense crowds of pedestrians. The policy uses a unique combination of input data to generate the desired steering angle and forward velocity: a short history of lidar data, kinematic data about nearby pedestrians, and a subgoal point. The policy is trained in a reinforcement learning setting using a reward function that contains a novel term based on velocity obstacles to guide the robot to actively avoid pedestrians and move toward the goal. Through a series of 3-D simulated experiments with up to 55 pedestrians, this control policy is able to achieve a better balance between collision avoidance and speed (i.e., higher success rate and faster average speed) than state-of-the-art model-based and learning-based policies, and it also generalizes better to different crowd sizes and unseen environments. An extensive series of hardware experiments demonstrate the ability of this policy to directly work in different real-world environments with different crowd sizes with zero retraining. Furthermore, a series of simulated and hardware experiments show that the control policy also works in highly constrained static environments on a different robot platform without any additional training. Lastly, several important lessons that can be applied to other robot learning systems are summarized.

This paper proposes a novel neural network-based control policy to enable a mobile robot to navigate safety through environments filled with both static obstacles, such as tables and chairs, and dense crowds of pedestrians. The network architecture uses early fusion to combine a short history of lidar data with kinematic data about nearby pedestrians. This kinematic data is key to enable safe robot navigation in these uncontrolled, human-filled environments. The network is trained in a supervised setting, using expert demonstrations to learn safe navigation behaviors. A series of experiments in detailed simulated environments demonstrate the efficacy of this policy, which is able to achieve a higher success rate than either standard model-based planners or state-of-the-art neural network control policies that use only raw sensor data.