City-scale traffic signal control (TSC) involves thousands of heterogeneous intersections with varying topologies, making cooperative decision-making across intersections particularly challenging. Given the prohibitive computational cost of learning individual policies for each intersection, some researchers explore learning a universal policy to control each intersection in a decentralized manner, where the key challenge is to construct a universal representation method for heterogeneous intersections. However, existing methods are limited to universally representing information of heterogeneous ego intersections, neglecting the essential representation of influence from their heterogeneous neighbors. Universally incorporating neighborhood information is nontrivial due to the intrinsic complexity of traffic flow interactions, as well as the challenge of modeling collective influences from neighbor intersections. To address these challenges, we propose CityLight, which learns a universal policy based on representations obtained with two major modules: a Neighbor Influence Encoder to explicitly model neighbor's influence with specified traffic flow relation and connectivity to the ego intersection; a Neighbor Influence Aggregator to attentively aggregate the influence of neighbors based on their mutual competitive relations. Extensive experiments on five city-scale datasets, ranging from 97 to 13,952 intersections, confirm the efficacy of CityLight, with an average throughput improvement of 11.68% and a lift of 22.59% for generalization. Our codes and datasets are released: https://github.com/tsinghua-fib-lab/CityLight.

As urban traffic networks grow more complex, seamless interaction between vehicles and infrastructure is critical, motivating Vehicle-to-Everything (V2X)-enabled intelligent transportation systems. Since vehicles are the main transport agents and traffic signals a key infrastructure component, jointly optimizing navigation and signal control is essential for sustainable V2X systems. However, existing methods often ignore long-range dependencies in road networks and lack effective large-scale vehicle coordination, limiting their ability to manage complex flows. To address this, we propose FCV2X-Net, a unified framework that enhances foresight and co-ordination in navigation and control. It consists of: (1) a Bayesian Graph Convolutional Network (BGCN)-based module with adaptive adjacency for modeling implicit long-range correlations; (2) a mean field-based intention propagation mechanism for scalable vehicle coordination; and (3) an intention-aware signal control module that adapts to aggregated vehicle intentions. Experiments on large-scale scenarios with 50 intersections show that FCV2X-Net increases vehicle throughput by 7.6% and reduces travel time by 7.2%, demonstrating its effectiveness for sustainable urban mobility. Codes and datasets are available at: https://github.com/JinweiZzz/FCV2X-Net.

Accurately estimating high-resolution carbon emissions is crucial for effective emission governance and mitigation planning. While conventional methods for precise carbon accounting are hindered by substantial data collection efforts, the rise of open data and advanced learning techniques offers a promising solution. Once an open data-based prediction model is developed and trained, it can easily infer emissions for new areas based on available open data. To address this, we incorporate two modalities of open data, satellite images and point-of-interest (POI) data, to predict high-resolution urban carbon emissions, with satellite images providing macroscopic and static and POI data offering fine-grained and relatively dynamic functionality information. However, estimating high-resolution carbon emissions presents two significant challenges: the intertwined and implicit effects of various functionalities on carbon emissions, and the complex spatial contiguity correlations that give rise to the agglomeration effect. Our model, OpenCarbon, features two major designs that target the challenges: a cross-modality information extraction and fusion module to extract complementary functionality information from two modules and model their interactions, and a neighborhood-informed aggregation module to capture the spatial contiguity correlations. Extensive experiments demonstrate our model's superiority, with a significant performance gain of 26.6% on R2. Further generalizability tests and case studies also show OpenCarbon's capacity to capture the intrinsic relation between urban functionalities and carbon emissions, validating its potential to empower efficient carbon governance and targeted carbon mitigation planning. Codes and data are available: https://github.com/JinweiZzz/OpenCarbon.

Accounting for over 20% of the total carbon emissions, the precise estimation of on-road transportation carbon emissions is crucial for carbon emission monitoring and efficient mitigation policy formulation. However, existing estimation methods typically depend on hard-to-collect individual statistics of vehicle miles traveled to calculate emissions, thereby suffering from high data collection difficulty. To relieve this issue by utilizing the strong pattern recognition of artificial intelligence, we incorporate two sources of open data representative of the transportation demand and capacity factors, the origin-destination (OD) flow data and the road network data, to build a hierarchical heterogeneous graph learning method for on-road carbon emission estimation (HENCE). Specifically, a hierarchical graph consisting of the road network level, community level, and region level is constructed to model the multi-scale road network-based connectivity and travel connection between spatial areas. Heterogeneous graphs consisting of OD links and spatial links are further built at both the community level and region level to capture the intrinsic interactions between travel demand and road network accessibility. Extensive experiments on two large-scale real-world datasets demonstrate HENCE's effectiveness and superiority with R-squared exceeding 0.75 and outperforming baselines by 9.60% on average, validating its success in pioneering the use of artificial intelligence to empower carbon emission management and sustainability development. The implementation codes are available at this link: https://github.com/tsinghua-fib-lab/HENCE.

Generally speaking, we can easily specify many causal relationships in the prediction tasks of ubiquitous computing, such as human activity prediction, mobility prediction, and health prediction. However, most of the existing methods in these fields failed to take advantage of this prior causal knowledge. They typically make predictions only based on correlations in the data, which hinders the prediction performance in real-world scenarios, because a distribution shift between training data and testing data generally exists. To fill in this gap, we proposed a Generative Adversarial Network (GAN)-based Causal Information Learning prediction framework, which can effectively leverage causal information to improve the prediction performance of existing ubiquitous computing deep learning models. Specifically, faced with a unique challenge that the treatment variable, referring to the intervention that influences the target in a causal relationship, is generally continuous in ubiquitous computing, the framework employs a representation learning approach with a GAN-based deep learning model. By projecting all variables except the treatment into a latent space, it effectively minimizes confounding bias and leverages the learned latent representation for accurate predictions. In this way, it deals with the continuous treatment challenge, and in the meantime, it can be easily integrated with existing deep learning models to lift their prediction performance in practical scenarios with causal information. Extensive experiments on two large-scale real-world datasets demonstrate its superior performance over multiple state-of-the-art baselines. We also propose an analytical framework together with extensive experiments to empirically show that our framework achieves better performance gain under two conditions: when the distribution differences between the training data and the testing data are more significant and when the treatment effects are larger. Overall, this work suggests that learning causal information is a promising way to improve the prediction performance of ubiquitous computing tasks. We open both our dataset and code 1 and call for more research attention in this area.

Predicting future origin-destination (OD) flow is essential for urban planning since it provides feedback for planning adjustment and reference for road planning. However, OD prediction for urban planning scenarios is unique as it typically lacks training data. A common practice is to refer to data from other cities, which causes the out-of-distribution (OOD) problem. A promising solution is to leverage causal information in the data. However, there are two challenges in utilizing causal information in urban planning scenarios: (a) Urban system has numerous factors, and only part of them indicate causal information. (b) The planned city development correlates with original city characteristics, therefore bringing confounding bias to the causal modelling process. In this paper, we propose designs to solve both challenges. Specifically, we first design a causal disentangled representation module to identify causal factors in attributes. Second, we adopt a variational sample re-weighting module to reduce the confounding bias. Our proposed model outperforms seven state-of-the-art baselines on three real-world datasets, achieving an average improvement of 9.59% in the MAE metric. Further in-depth analysis shows our method's robustness across different urban planning scenarios and outstanding performance in predicting extremely large OD flows, which corroborates the contribution of our designs to the urban planning field.

Accurate churn prediction for retaining users is keenly important for online services because it determines their survival and prosperity. Recent research has specified social influence to be one of the most important reasons for user churn, and thereby many works start to model its effects on user churn to improve the prediction performance. However, existing works only use the data's correlational information while neglecting the problem's causal nature. Specifically, the fact that a user's churn is correlated with some social factors does not mean he/she is actually influenced by his/her friends, which results in inaccurate and unexplainable predictions of the existing methods. To bridge this gap, we develop a counterfactual modeling framework for churn prediction, which can effectively capture the causal information of social influence for accurate and explainable churn predictions. Specifically, we first propose a backbone framework that uses two separate embeddings to model users' endogenous churn intentions and the exogenous social influence. Then, we propose a counterfactual data augmentation module to introduce the causal information to the model by providing partially labeled counterfactual data. Finally, we design a three-headed counterfactual prediction framework to guide the model to learn causal information to facilitate churn prediction. Extensive experiments on two large-scale datasets with different types of social relations show our model's superior prediction performance compared with the state-of-the-art baselines. We further conduct an in-depth analysis of the prediction results demonstrating our proposed method's ability to capture causal information of social influence and give explainable churn predictions, which provide insights into designing better user retention strategies.