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Steven R. Howard

dblp:322/7227 · DBLP profile ↗
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1ranked-venue papers
0as first author
1since 2021 · last 2023
—ORCID · none

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 1 · 1 since 2021

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Artificial intelligence
1 paper
Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning · 50% Learning theory · 38% Transfer learning and domain adaptation · 12%

Topics — the 4 heaviest of 4, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › statistical inference
density estimation
0.712023
Time-uniform confidence bands for the CDF under nonstationarity · NeurIPS 2023
Machine learning › Learning theory › statistical estimation
sequential estimation
0.712023
Time-uniform confidence bands for the CDF under nonstationarity · NeurIPS 2023
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › causal inference
counterfactual prediction
0.212023
Time-uniform confidence bands for the CDF under nonstationarity · NeurIPS 2023
Machine learning › Transfer learning and domain adaptation › instance weighting
importance weighting
0.212023
Time-uniform confidence bands for the CDF under nonstationarity · NeurIPS 2023

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

time-uniform bounds · 0.7importance weighting · 0.7
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2023 Time-uniform confidence bands for the CDF under nonstationarity
abstract
Estimation of a complete univariate distribution from a sequence of observations is a useful primitive for both manual and automated decision making. This problem has received extensive attention in the i.i.d. setting, but the arbitrary data dependent setting remains largely unaddressed. We present computationally felicitous time-uniform and value-uniform bounds on the CDF of the running averaged conditional distribution of a sequence of real-valued random variables. Consistent with known impossibility results, our CDF bounds are always valid but sometimes trivial when the instance is too hard, and we give an instance-dependent convergence guarantee. The importance-weighted extension is appropriate for estimating complete counterfactual distributions of rewards given data from a randomized experiment, e.g., from an A/B test or a contextual bandit.
Paul Mineiro, Steven R. Howard
NeurIPS2