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Luca Kummer

dblp:323/5146 · DBLP profile ↗
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1ranked-venue papers
0as first author
1since 2021 · last 2022
—ORCID · none

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 1 · 1 since 2021

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Interdisciplinary, comprehensive, and emerging computing
1 paper
Environmental and earth informatics · 100%

Topics — the 2 heaviest of 2, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Environmental and earth informatics › atmospheric modeling
numerical weather prediction
0.612022
ENS-10: A Dataset For Post-Processing Ensemble Weather Forecasts · NeurIPS 2022
Environmental and earth informatics
weather forecasting
0.612022
ENS-10: A Dataset For Post-Processing Ensemble Weather Forecasts · NeurIPS 2022

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

machine learning baselines · 0.6
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2022 ENS-10: A Dataset For Post-Processing Ensemble Weather Forecasts
abstract
Post-processing ensemble prediction systems can improve the reliability of weather forecasting, especially for extreme event prediction. In recent years, different machine learning models have been developed to improve the quality of weather post-processing. However, these models require a comprehensive dataset of weather simulations to produce high-accuracy results, which comes at a high computational cost to generate. This paper introduces the ENS-10 dataset, consisting of ten ensemble members spanning 20 years (1998--2017). The ensemble members are generated by perturbing numerical weather simulations to capture the chaotic behavior of the Earth. To represent the three-dimensional state of the atmosphere, ENS-10 provides the most relevant atmospheric variables at 11 distinct pressure levels and the surface at \ang{0.5} resolution for forecast lead times T=0, 24, and 48 hours (two data points per week). We propose the ENS-10 prediction correction task for improving the forecast quality at a 48-hour lead time through ensemble post-processing. We provide a set of baselines and compare their skill at correcting the predictions of three important atmospheric variables. Moreover, we measure the baselines' skill at improving predictions of extreme weather events using our dataset. The ENS-10 dataset is available under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) license.
Saleh Ashkboos, Langwen Huang, Nikoli Dryden, Tal Ben-Nun, Peter D. Düben, Lukas Gianinazzi, Luca Kummer, Torsten Hoefler
NeurIPS7