Source-Free Domain Adaptation (SFDA) seeks to adapt a pre-trained source model to the target domain using only unlabeled target data, without access to the original source data. While current state-of-the-art (SOTA) methods rely on leveraging weak supervision from the source model to extract reliable information for self-supervised adaptation, they often overlook the uncertainty that arises during the transfer process. In this paper, we conduct a systematic and theoretical analysis of the uncertainty inherent in existing SFDA methods and demonstrate its impact on transfer performance through the lens of Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO). Building upon the theoretical results, we propose a novel instance-dependent uncertainty control algorithm for SFDA. Our method is designed to quantify and exploit the uncertainty during the adaptation process, significantly improving the model performance. Extensive experiments on benchmark datasets and empirical analyses confirm the validity of our theoretical findings and the effectiveness of the proposed method. This work offers new insights into understanding and advancing SFDA performance.

Multivariate linear regression models are broadly used to facilitate relationships between outcomes and features. However, their effectiveness is compromised by the presence of missing observations, a ubiquitous challenge in real-world applications. Considering a scenario where learners access only limited components for both outcomes and features, we develop efficient algorithms tailored for the least squares ($L_2$) and least absolute ($L_1$) loss functions, each coupled with a ridge-like and Lasso-type penalty, respectively. Moreover, we establish rigorous error bounds for all proposed algorithms. Notably, our $L_2$ loss function algorithms are probably approximately correct (PAC), distinguishing them from their $L_1$ counterparts. Extensive numerical experiments show that our approach outperforms methods that apply existing algorithms for univariate outcome individually to each coordinate of multivariate outcomes in a naive manner. Further, utilizing the $L_1$ loss function or introducing a Lasso-type penalty can enhance predictions in the presence of outliers or high dimensional features. This research contributes valuable insights into addressing the challenges posed by incomplete data.

While crowdsourcing has emerged as a practical solution for labeling large datasets, it presents a significant challenge in learning accurate models due to noisy labels from annotators with varying levels of expertise. Existing methods typically estimate the true label posterior, conditioned on the instance and noisy annotations, to infer true labels or adjust loss functions. These estimates, however, often overlook potential misspecification in the true label posterior, which can degrade model performances, especially in high-noise scenarios. To address this issue, we investigate learning from noisy annotations with an estimated true label posterior through the framework of conditional distributionally robust optimization (CDRO). We propose formulating the problem as minimizing the worst-case risk within a distance-based ambiguity set centered around a reference distribution. By examining the strong duality of the formulation, we derive upper bounds for the worst-case risk and develop an analytical solution for the dual robust risk for each data point. This leads to a novel robust pseudo-labeling algorithm that leverages the likelihood ratio test to construct a pseudo-empirical distribution, providing a robust reference probability distribution in CDRO. Moreover, to devise an efficient algorithm for CDRO, we derive a closed-form expression for the empirical robust risk and the optimal Lagrange multiplier of the dual problem, facilitating a principled balance between robustness and model fitting. Our experimental results on both synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate the superiority of our method.

The predictive ability of supervised learning algorithms hinges on the quality of annotated examples, whose labels often come from multiple crowdsourced annotators with diverse expertise. To aggregate noisy crowdsourced annotations, many existing methods employ an annotator-specific instance-independent noise transition matrix to characterize the labeling skills of each annotator. Learning an instance-dependent noise transition model, however, is challenging and remains relatively less explored. To address this problem, in this paper, we formulate the noise transition model in a Bayesian framework and subsequently design a new label correction algorithm. Specifically, we approximate the instance-dependent noise transition matrices using a Bayesian network with a hierarchical spike and slab prior. To theoretically characterize the distance between the noise transition model and the true instance-dependent noise transition matrix, we provide a posterior-concentration theorem that ensures the posterior consistency in terms of the Hellinger distance. We further formulate the label correction process as a hypothesis testing problem and propose a novel algorithm to infer the true label from the noisy annotations based on the pairwise likelihood ratio test. Moreover, we establish an information-theoretic bound on the Bayes error for the proposed method. We validate the effectiveness of our approach through experiments on benchmark and real-world datasets.