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Jordan Richards

dblp:326/9005 · DBLP profile ↗
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1ranked-venue papers
1as first author
1since 2021 · last 2024
—ORCID · none

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 1 · 1 first-author · 1 since 2021

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Artificial intelligence
1 paper
Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning · 100%
Interdisciplinary, comprehensive, and emerging computing
1 paper
Computational science and engineering · 100%

Topics — the 1 heaviest of 2, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Computational science and engineering
spatial statistics
0.812024
Neural Bayes estimators for censored inference with peaks-over-threshold models · J. Mach. Learn. Res. 2024

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

neural network · 1.5likelihood-free inference · 1.5
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2024 Neural Bayes estimators for censored inference with peaks-over-threshold models
abstract
Making inference with spatial extremal dependence models can be computationally burdensome since they involve intractable and/or censored likelihoods. Building on recent advances in likelihood-free inference with neural Bayes estimators, that is, neural networks that approximate Bayes estimators, we develop highly efficient estimators for censored peaks-over-threshold models that use augmented data to encode censoring information in the neural network input. Our new method provides a paradigm shift that challenges traditional censored likelihood-based inference methods for spatial extremal dependence models. Our simulation studies highlight significant gains in both computational and statistical efficiency, relative to competing likelihood-based approaches, when applying our novel estimators to make inference with popular extremal dependence models, such as max-stable, $r$-Pareto, and random scale mixture process models. We also illustrate that it is possible to train a single neural Bayes estimator for a general censoring level, precluding the need to retrain the network when the censoring level is changed. We illustrate the efficacy of our estimators by making fast inference on hundreds-of-thousands of high-dimensional spatial extremal dependence models to assess extreme particulate matter 2.5 microns or less in diameter (${\rm PM}_{2.5}$) concentration over the whole of Saudi Arabia.
Jordan Richards, Matthew Sainsbury-Dale, Andrew Zammit-Mangion, Raphaël Huser
J. Mach. Learn. Res.1