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Timothy M. Wolock

dblp:329/6086 · DBLP profile ↗
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1ranked-venue papers
0as first author
1since 2021 · last 2023
—ORCID · none

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 1 · 1 since 2021Graphics, computer vision, multimedia, augmented reality and games · 1 · 1 since 2021

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Interdisciplinary, comprehensive, and emerging computing
1 paper
Medical and health informatics · 100%
Artificial intelligence
1 paper
Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning · 100%

Topics — the 3 heaviest of 3, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › statistical inference
bayesian inference
0.712023
Seq2Seq Surrogates of Epidemic Models to Facilitate Bayesian Inference · AAAI 2023
Medical and health informatics
epidemic modeling
0.712023
Seq2Seq Surrogates of Epidemic Models to Facilitate Bayesian Inference · AAAI 2023
Medical and health informatics
epidemiology
0.712023
Seq2Seq Surrogates of Epidemic Models to Facilitate Bayesian Inference · AAAI 2023

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

surrogate model · 1.3sequence-to-sequence model · 1.3deep learning · 1.3
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2023 Seq2Seq Surrogates of Epidemic Models to Facilitate Bayesian Inference
abstract
Epidemic models are powerful tools in understanding infectious disease. However, as they increase in size and complexity, they can quickly become computationally intractable. Recent progress in modelling methodology has shown that surrogate models can be used to emulate complex epidemic models with a high-dimensional parameter space. We show that deep sequence-to-sequence (seq2seq) models can serve as accurate surrogates for complex epidemic models with sequence based model parameters, effectively replicating seasonal and long-term transmission dynamics. Once trained, our surrogate can predict scenarios a several thousand times faster than the original model, making them ideal for policy exploration. We demonstrate that replacing a traditional epidemic model with a learned simulator facilitates robust Bayesian inference.
Giovanni Charles, Timothy M. Wolock, Peter Winskill, Azra C. Ghani, Samir Bhatt, Seth R. Flaxman
AAAI2