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Patrick Seifner

dblp:348/7197 · DBLP profile ↗
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4ranked-venue papers
3as first author
4since 2021 · last 2025
—ORCID · none

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 4 · 3 first-author · 4 since 2021

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Artificial intelligence
4 papers
Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning · 72% Language models and text generation · 20% Deep learning architectures and training · 5%
Interdisciplinary, comprehensive, and emerging computing
2 papers
Computational science and engineering · 100%

Topics — the 10 heaviest of 11, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › probabilistic inference › approximate inference › variational inference
amortized inference
0.912025
Zero-shot Imputation with Foundation Inference Models for Dynamical Systems · ICLR 2025
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › continuous-time model › stochastic differential equations
drift and diffusion estimation
0.912025
In-Context Learning of Stochastic Differential Equations with Foundation Inference Models · NeurIPS 2025
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › continuous-time model
stochastic differential equations
0.912025
In-Context Learning of Stochastic Differential Equations with Foundation Inference Models · NeurIPS 2025
Natural language and speech › Language models and text generation › large language model inference
zero-shot inference
0.912025
Zero-shot Imputation with Foundation Inference Models for Dynamical Systems · ICLR 2025
Computational science and engineering
dynamical systems
0.912025
Zero-shot Imputation with Foundation Inference Models for Dynamical Systems · ICLR 2025
Computational science and engineering › differential equations
ordinary differential equations
0.912025
Zero-shot Imputation with Foundation Inference Models for Dynamical Systems · ICLR 2025
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › stochastic processes › markov processes
markov jump processes
0.712023
Neural Markov Jump Processes · ICML 2023
Natural language and speech › Language models and text generation
in-context learning
0.312025
In-Context Learning of Stochastic Differential Equations with Foundation Inference Models · NeurIPS 2025
Machine learning › Deep learning architectures and training
neural operator
0.312025
Zero-shot Imputation with Foundation Inference Models for Dynamical Systems · ICLR 2025
Machine learning › Generative modeling
generative adversarial network
0.212023
Neural Markov Jump Processes · ICML 2023

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

amortized inference · 4.1neural operator · 2.6synthetic data generation · 1.7zero-shot inference · 1.5neural recognition model · 1.5variational inference · 0.7neural ordinary differential equation · 0.7backpropagation · 0.7
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2025 Zero-shot Imputation with Foundation Inference Models for Dynamical Systems
abstract
Dynamical systems governed by ordinary differential equations (ODEs) serve as models for a vast number of natural and social phenomena. In this work, we offer a fresh perspective on the classical problem of imputing missing time series data, whose underlying dynamics are assumed to be determined by ODEs. Specifically, we revisit ideas from amortized inference and neural operators, and propose a novel supervised learning framework for *zero-shot time series imputation*, through parametric functions satisfying some (hidden) ODEs. Our proposal consists of two components. First, a broad probability distribution over the space of ODE solutions, observation times and noise mechanisms, with which we generate a large, synthetic dataset of (hidden) ODE solutions, along with their noisy and sparse observations. Second, a neural recognition model that is trained *offline*, to map the generated time series onto the spaces of initial conditions and time derivatives of the (hidden) ODE solutions, which we then integrate to impute the missing data. We empirically demonstrate that *one and the same* (pretrained) recognition model can perform zero-shot imputation across 63 distinct time series with missing values, each sampled from widely different dynamical systems. Likewise, we demonstrate that it can perform zero-shot imputation of missing high-dimensional data in 10 vastly different settings, spanning human motion, air quality, traffic and electricity studies, as well as Navier-Stokes simulations — *without requiring any fine-tuning*. What is more, our proposal often outperforms state-of-the-art methods, which are trained on the target datasets. Our pretrained model, repository and tutorials are available online.
Patrick Seifner, Kostadin Cvejoski, Antonia Körner, Ramsés J. Sánchez
ICLR1
2025 In-Context Learning of Stochastic Differential Equations with Foundation Inference Models
abstract
Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) describe dynamical systems where deterministic flows, governed by a drift function, are superimposed with random fluctuations, dictated by a diffusion function. The accurate estimation (*or discovery*) of these functions from data is a central problem in machine learning, with wide application across the natural and social sciences. Yet current solutions either rely heavily on prior knowledge of the dynamics or involve intricate training procedures. We introduce FIM-SDE (Foundation Inference Model for SDEs), a pretrained recognition model that delivers accurate *in-context* (or zero-shot) estimation of the drift and diffusion functions of *low-dimensional* SDEs, from noisy time series data, and allows rapid *finetuning* to target datasets. Leveraging concepts from amortized inference and neural operators, we (pre)train FIM-SDE in a supervised fashion to map a large set of noisy, discretely observed SDE paths onto the space of drift and diffusion functions. We demonstrate that FIM-SDE achieves robust *in-context* function estimation across a wide range of synthetic and real-world processes --- from canonical SDE systems (*e.g*., double-well dynamics or weakly perturbed Lorenz attractors) to stock price recordings and oil-price and wind-speed fluctuations --- while matching the performance of symbolic, Gaussian process and Neural SDE baselines trained on the target datasets. When *finetuned* to the target processes, we show that FIM-SDE consistently outperforms all these baselines.
Patrick Seifner, Kostadin Cvejoski, David Berghaus, César Ojeda, Ramsés J. Sánchez
NeurIPS1
2024 Foundation Inference Models for Markov Jump Processes
abstract
Markov jump processes are continuous-time stochastic processes which describe dynamical systems evolving in discrete state spaces. These processes find wide application in the natural sciences and machine learning, but their inference is known to be far from trivial. In this work we introduce a methodology for *zero-shot inference* of Markov jump processes (MJPs), on bounded state spaces, from noisy and sparse observations, which consists of two components. First, a broad probability distribution over families of MJPs, as well as over possible observation times and noise mechanisms, with which we simulate a synthetic dataset of hidden MJPs and their noisy observations. Second, a neural recognition model that processes subsets of the simulated observations, and that is trained to output the initial condition and rate matrix of the target MJP in a supervised way. We empirically demonstrate that *one and the same* (pretrained) recognition model can infer, *in a zero-shot fashion*, hidden MJPs evolving in state spaces of different dimensionalities. Specifically, we infer MJPs which describe (i) discrete flashing ratchet systems, which are a type of Brownian motors, and the conformational dynamics in (ii) molecular simulations, (iii) experimental ion channel data and (iv) simple protein folding models. What is more, we show that our model performs on par with state-of-the-art models which are trained on the target datasets. Our pretrained model is available online.
David Berghaus, Kostadin Cvejoski, Patrick Seifner, César Ojeda, Ramsés J. Sánchez
NeurIPS3
2023 Neural Markov Jump Processes
abstract
Markov jump processes are continuous-time stochastic processes with a wide range of applications in both natural and social sciences. Despite their widespread use, inference in these models is highly non-trivial and typically proceeds via either Monte Carlo or expectation-maximization methods. In this work we introduce an alternative, variational inference algorithm for Markov jump processes which relies on neural ordinary differential equations, and is trainable via back-propagation. Our methodology learns neural, continuous-time representations of the observed data, that are used to approximate the initial distribution and time-dependent transition probability rates of the posterior Markov jump process. The time-independent rates of the prior process are in contrast trained akin to generative adversarial networks. We test our approach on synthetic data sampled from ground-truth Markov jump processes, experimental switching ion channel data and molecular dynamics simulations. Source code to reproduce our experiments is available online.
Patrick Seifner, Ramsés J. Sánchez
ICML1