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Johannes Resin

dblp:348/9704 · DBLP profile ↗
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1ranked-venue papers
1as first author
1since 2021 · last 2023
—ORCID · none

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 1 · 1 first-author · 1 since 2021

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Artificial intelligence
1 paper
Learning theory · 50% Time series and sequential data · 50%

Topics — the 2 heaviest of 2, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Machine learning › Time series and sequential data › time series modeling
probabilistic forecasting
0.712023
From Classification Accuracy to Proper Scoring Rules: Elicitability of Probabilistic Top List Predictions · J. Mach. Learn. Res. 2023
Machine learning › Learning theory › loss function
proper scoring rules
0.712023
From Classification Accuracy to Proper Scoring Rules: Elicitability of Probabilistic Top List Predictions · J. Mach. Learn. Res. 2023
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2023 From Classification Accuracy to Proper Scoring Rules: Elicitability of Probabilistic Top List Predictions
abstract
In the face of uncertainty, the need for probabilistic assessments has long been recognized in the literature on forecasting. In classification, however, comparative evaluation of classifiers often focuses on predictions specifying a single class through the use of simple accuracy measures, which disregard any probabilistic uncertainty quantification. I propose probabilistic top lists as a novel type of prediction in classification, which bridges the gap between single-class predictions and predictive distributions. The probabilistic top list functional is elicitable through the use of strictly consistent evaluation metrics. The proposed evaluation metrics are based on symmetric proper scoring rules and admit comparison of various types of predictions ranging from single-class point predictions to fully specified predictive distributions. The Brier score yields a metric that is particularly well suited for this kind of comparison.
Johannes Resin
J. Mach. Learn. Res.1