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Are Løkken Ottesen

dblp:352/9647 · DBLP profile ↗
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1ranked-venue papers
0as first author
1since 2021 · last 2023
—ORCID · none

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 1 · 1 since 2021Graphics, computer vision, multimedia, augmented reality and games · 1 · 1 since 2021

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Interdisciplinary, comprehensive, and emerging computing
1 paper
Energy systems and smart grids · 100%

Topics — the 1 heaviest of 2, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Energy systems and smart grids
power distribution network
0.212023
A Robust and Scalable Stacked Ensemble for Day-Ahead Forecasting of Distribution Network Losses · AAAI 2023

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

stacked ensemble · 0.7non-negative least squares stacking · 0.7feature engineering · 0.7catboost · 0.7
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2023 A Robust and Scalable Stacked Ensemble for Day-Ahead Forecasting of Distribution Network Losses
abstract
Accurate day-ahead nominations of grid losses in electrical distribution networks are important to reduce the societal cost of these losses. We present a modification of the CatBoost ensemble-based system for day-ahead grid loss prediction detailed in Dalal et al. (2020), making four main changes. Base models predict on the log-space of the target, to ensure non-negative predictions. The model ensemble is changed to include different model types, for increased ensemble variance. Feature engineering is applied to consumption and weather forecasts, to improve base model performance. Finally, a non-negative least squares-based stacking method that uses as many available models as possible for each prediction is introduced, to achieve an improved model selection that is robust to missing data. When deployed for over three months in 2022, the resulting system reduced mean absolute error by 10.7% compared to the system from Dalal et al. (2020), a reduction from 5.05 to 4.51 MW. With no tuning of machine learning parameters, the system was also extended to three new grids, where it achieved similar relative error as on the old grids. Our system is robust and easily scalable, and our proposed stacking method could provide improved performance in applications outside grid loss.
Gunnar Grotmol, Eivind Hovdegård Furdal, Nisha Dalal, Are Løkken Ottesen, Ella-Lovise H. Rørvik, Martin Mølnå, Gleb Sizov, Odd Erik Gundersen
AAAI4