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Hadar Tal

dblp:410/5218 · DBLP profile ↗
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1ranked-venue papers
1as first author
1since 2021 · last 2025
—ORCID · none

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 1 · 1 first-author · 1 since 2021

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Theoretical computer science
1 paper
Algorithmic game theory and mechanism design · 56% Algorithms and data structures · 44%

Topics — the 2 heaviest of 3, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Algorithms and data structures
dynamic programming
0.912025
Optimal Online Bookmaking for Any Number of Outcomes · COLT 2025
Algorithmic game theory and mechanism design › solution concepts in games › equilibrium concepts
subgame perfect equilibrium
0.312025
Optimal Online Bookmaking for Any Number of Outcomes · COLT 2025

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

pareto frontier · 0.9hermite polynomials · 0.9dynamic programming · 0.9
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2025 Optimal Online Bookmaking for Any Number of Outcomes
abstract
We study the \emph{Online Bookmaking} problem, where a bookmaker dynamically updates betting odds on the possible outcomes of an event. In each betting round, the bookmaker can adjust the odds based on the cumulative betting behavior of gamblers, aiming to maximize profit while mitigating potential loss. We show that for any event and any number of betting rounds, in a worst-case setting over all possible gamblers and outcome realizations, the bookmaker’s optimal loss is the largest root of a simple polynomial. Our solution shows that bookmakers can be as fair as desired while avoiding financial risk, and the explicit characterization reveals an intriguing relation between the bookmaker’s regret and Hermite polynomials. We develop an efficient algorithm that computes the optimal bookmaking strategy: when facing an optimal gambler, the algorithm achieves the optimal loss, and in rounds where the gambler is suboptimal, it reduces the achieved loss to the \emph{optimal opportunistic} loss, a notion that is related to subgame perfect Nash equilibrium. The key technical contribution to achieve these results is an explicit characterization of the \emph{Bellman-Pareto frontier}, which unifies the dynamic programming updates for Bellman’s value function with the multi-criteria optimization framework of the Pareto frontier in the context of vector repeated games.
Hadar Tal, Oron Sabag
COLT1