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Feichen Gan

dblp:414/8023 · DBLP profile ↗
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1ranked-venue papers
1as first author
1since 2021 · last 2025
—ORCID · none

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 1 · 1 first-author · 1 since 2021

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Artificial intelligence
1 paper
Trustworthy machine learning · 75% Reinforcement learning · 25%

Topics — the 4 heaviest of 4, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Machine learning › Trustworthy machine learning › uncertainty estimation
conformal prediction
0.912025
Conformal Prediction Beyond the Horizon: Distribution-Free Inference for Policy Evaluation · NeurIPS 2025
Machine learning › Trustworthy machine learning › uncertainty estimation › conformal prediction
coverage guarantee
0.912025
Conformal Prediction Beyond the Horizon: Distribution-Free Inference for Policy Evaluation · NeurIPS 2025
Machine learning › Trustworthy machine learning › uncertainty estimation
distribution-free uncertainty quantification
0.912025
Conformal Prediction Beyond the Horizon: Distribution-Free Inference for Policy Evaluation · NeurIPS 2025
Machine learning › Reinforcement learning
policy evaluation
0.912025
Conformal Prediction Beyond the Horizon: Distribution-Free Inference for Policy Evaluation · NeurIPS 2025

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

importance weighting · 0.9distributional RL · 0.9conformal calibration · 0.9
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2025 Conformal Prediction Beyond the Horizon: Distribution-Free Inference for Policy Evaluation
abstract
Reliable uncertainty quantification is crucial for reinforcement learning (RL) in high-stakes settings. We propose a unified conformal prediction framework for infinite-horizon policy evaluation that constructs distribution-free prediction intervals for returns in both on-policy and off-policy settings. Our method integrates distributional RL with conformal calibration, addressing challenges such as unobserved returns, temporal dependencies, and distributional shifts. We propose a modular pseudo-return construction based on truncated rollouts and a time-aware calibration strategy using experience replay and weighted subsampling. These innovations mitigate model bias and restore approximate exchangeability, enabling uncertainty quantification even under policy shifts. Our theoretical analysis provides coverage guarantees that account for model misspecification and importance weight estimation. Empirical results, including experiments in synthetic and benchmark environments like Mountain Car, show that our method significantly improves coverage and reliability over standard distributional RL baselines.
Feichen Gan, Youcun Lu
NeurIPS1