Future link prediction is a fundamental challenge in various real-world dynamic systems. To address this, numerous temporal graph neural networks (temporal GNNs) and benchmark datasets have been developed. However, these datasets often feature excessive repeated edges and lack complex sequential dynamics, a key characteristic inherent in many real-world applications such as recommender systems and "Who-To-Follow" on social networks. This oversight has led existing methods to inadvertently downplay the importance of learning sequential dynamics, focusing primarily on predicting repeated edges. In this study, we demonstrate that existing methods, such as GraphMixer and DyGFormer, are inherently incapable of learning simple sequential dynamics, such as "a user who has followed OpenAI and Anthropic is more likely to follow AI at Meta next." Motivated by this issue, we introduce the Temporal Graph Benchmark with Sequential Dynamics (TGB-Seq), a new benchmark carefully curated to minimize repeated edges, challenging models to learn sequential dynamics and generalize to unseen edges. TGB-Seq comprises large real-world datasets spanning diverse domains, including e-commerce interactions, movie ratings, business reviews, social networks, citation networks and web link networks. Benchmarking experiments reveal that current methods usually suffer significant performance degradation and incur substantial training costs on TGB-Seq, posing new challenges and opportunities for future research. TGB-Seq datasets, leaderboards, and example codes are available at https://tgb-seq.github.io/.

Due to the proficiency of self-attention mechanisms (SAMs) in capturing dependencies in sequence modeling, several existing dynamic graph neural networks (DGNNs) utilize Transformer architectures with various encoding designs to capture sequential evolutions of dynamic graphs. However, the effectiveness and efficiency of these Transformer-based DGNNs vary significantly, highlighting the importance of properly defining the SAM on dynamic graphs and comprehensively encoding temporal and interactive dynamics without extra complex modules. In this work, we propose TIDFormer, a dynamic graph TransFormer that fully exploits Temporal and Interactive Dynamics in an efficient manner. We clarify and verify the interpretability of our proposed SAM, addressing the open problem of its uninterpretable definitions on dynamic graphs in previous works. To model the temporal and interactive dynamics, respectively, we utilize the calendar-based time partitioning information and extract informative interaction embeddings for both bipartite and non-bipartite graphs using merely the sampled first-order neighbors. In addition, we jointly model temporal and interactive features by capturing potential changes in historical interaction patterns through a simple decomposition. We conduct extensive experiments on several dynamic graph datasets to verify the effectiveness and efficiency of TIDFormer. The experimental results demonstrate that TIDFormer excels, outperforming state-of-the-art models across most datasets and experimental settings. Furthermore, TIDFormer exhibits significant efficiency advantages compared to previous Transformer-based methods.

The drastic performance degradation of Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) as the depth of the graph propagation layers exceeds 8-10 is widely attributed to a phenomenon of Over-smoothing. Although recent research suggests that Over-smoothing may not be the dominant reason for such a performance degradation, they have not provided rigorous analysis from a theoretical view, which warrants further investigation In this paper, we systematically analyze the real dominant problem in deep GNNs and identify the issues that these GNNs towards addressing Over-smoothing essentially work on via empirical experiments and theoretical gradient analysis. We theoretically prove that the difficult training problem of deep MLPs is actually the main challenge, and various existing methods that supposedly tackle Over-smoothing actually improve the trainability of MLPs, which is the main reason for their performance gains. Our further investigation into trainability issues reveals that properly constrained smaller upper bounds of gradient flow notably enhance the trainability of GNNs. Experimental results on diverse datasets demonstrate consistency between our theoretical findings and empirical evidence. Our analysis provides new insights in constructing deep graph models.