Bayesian networks can deduce statistical causal relationships from observed data. When applied to a large-scale health and medical dataset, it becomes feasible to employ the deduced networks to identify potential factors related to disease onset. Factors contributing to the onset of lifestyle-related diseases, such as the social environment and habits, vary significantly among individuals. Thus, it can be hypothesized that networks illustrating disease onset mechanisms would also exhibit substantial diversity. However, typical statistical causal discovery methods challenge the analysis of relationships specific to the sub-groups in a dataset because they use the entire data. In response to this, we use a pattern mining technique for Iwaki Health Promotion Project Health Checkup data to derive subgroups exhibiting strong correlations with the target variables. We estimated the Bayesian networks for the characteristic subgroups out of those derived, and compared them with the Bayesian network estimated for the total (hereafter, base network). Our target was the onset of eight lifestyle-related diseases within three years, resulting in a total of 359 subgroups. By comparing the estimated subgroup networks with the base network, we confirmed the numerous relationships specific to the subgroup networks. These encompassed not only clinically known but also non-trivial relationships. Our approach, which uses target-wise correlation-based rule subgrouping and network estimation is beneficial for constructing hypotheses on the differences in disease onset causes among potential subgroups.

Early disease detection and prevention methods based on effective interventions are gaining attention worldwide. Progress in precision medicine has revealed that substantial heterogeneity exists in health data at the individual level and that complex health factors are involved in chronic disease development. Machine-learning techniques have enabled precise personal-level disease prediction by capturing individual differences in multivariate data. However, it is challenging to identify what aspects should be improved for disease prevention based on future disease-onset prediction because of the complex relationships among multiple biomarkers. Here, we present a health-disease phase diagram (HDPD) that represents an individual's health state by visualizing the future-onset boundary values of multiple biomarkers that fluctuate early in the disease progression process. In HDPDs, future-onset predictions are represented by perturbing multiple biomarker values while accounting for dependencies among variables. We constructed HDPDs for 11 diseases using longitudinal health checkup cohort data of 3,238 individuals, comprising 3,215 measurement items and genetic data. The improvement of biomarker values to the non-onset region in HDPD remarkably prevented future disease onset in 7 out of 11 diseases. HDPDs can represent individual physiological states in the onset process and be used as intervention goals for disease prevention.

SUMMARY: When investigating gene expression profiles, determining important directed edges between genes can provide valuable insights in addition to identifying differentially expressed genes. In the subsequent functional enrichment analysis (EA), understanding how enriched pathways or genes in the pathway interact with one another can help infer the gene regulatory network (GRN), important for studying the underlying molecular mechanisms. However, packages for easy inference of the GRN based on EA are scarce. Here, we developed an R package, CBNplot, which infers the Bayesian network (BN) from gene expression data, explicitly utilizing EA results obtained from curated biological pathway databases. The core features include convenient wrapping for structure learning, visualization of the BN from EA results, comparison with reference networks, and reflection of gene-related information on the plot. As an example, we demonstrate the analysis of bladder cancer-related datasets using CBNplot, including probabilistic reasoning, which is a unique aspect of BN analysis. We display the transformability of results obtained from one dataset to another, the validity of the analysis as assessed using established knowledge and literature, and the possibility of facilitating knowledge discovery from gene expression datasets. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: The library, documentation and web server are available at https://github.com/noriakis/CBNplot. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.

UNLABELLED: SiGN-SSM is an open-source gene network estimation software able to run in parallel on PCs and massively parallel supercomputers. The software estimates a state space model (SSM), that is a statistical dynamic model suitable for analyzing short time and/or replicated time series gene expression profiles. SiGN-SSM implements a novel parameter constraint effective to stabilize the estimated models. Also, by using a supercomputer, it is able to determine the gene network structure by a statistical permutation test in a practical time. SiGN-SSM is applicable not only to analyzing temporal regulatory dependencies between genes, but also to extracting the differentially regulated genes from time series expression profiles. AVAILABILITY: SiGN-SSM is distributed under GNU Affero General Public Licence (GNU AGPL) version 3 and can be downloaded at http://sign.hgc.jp/signssm/. The pre-compiled binaries for some architectures are available in addition to the source code. The pre-installed binaries are also available on the Human Genome Center supercomputer system. The online manual and the supplementary information of SiGN-SSM is available on our web site. CONTACT: [email protected].

We present a novel algorithm to estimate genome-wide gene networks consisting of more than 20,000 genes from gene expression data using nonparametric Bayesian networks. Due to the difficulty of learning Bayesian network structures, existing algorithms cannot be applied to more than a few thousand genes. Our algorithm overcomes this limitation by repeatedly estimating subnetworks in parallel for genes selected by neighbor node sampling. Through numerical simulation, we confirmed that our algorithm outperformed a heuristic algorithm in a shorter time. We applied our algorithm to microarray data from human umbilical vein endothelial cells (HUVECs) treated with siRNAs, to construct a human genome-wide gene network, which we compared to a small gene network estimated for the genes extracted using a traditional bioinformatics method. The results showed that our genome-wide gene network contains many features of the small network, as well as others that could not be captured during the small network estimation. The results also revealed master-regulator genes that are not in the small network but that control many of the genes in the small network. These analyses were impossible to realize without our proposed algorithm.

MOTIVATION: The prediction of localization sites of various proteins is an important and challenging problem in the field of molecular biology. TargetP, by Emanuelsson et al. (J. Mol. Biol., 300, 1005-1016, 2000) is a neural network based system which is currently the best predictor in the literature for N-terminal sorting signals. One drawback of neural networks, however, is that it is generally difficult to understand and interpret how and why they make such predictions. In this paper, we aim to generate simple and interpretable rules as predictors, and still achieve a practical prediction accuracy. We adopt an approach which consists of an extensive search for simple rules and various attributes which is partially guided by human intuition. RESULTS: We have succeeded in finding rules whose prediction accuracies come close to that of TargetP, while still retaining a very simple and interpretable form. We also discuss and interpret the discovered rules.