BACKGROUND: One component of precision medicine is to construct prediction models with their predicitve ability as high as possible, e.g. to enable individual risk prediction. In genetic epidemiology, complex diseases like coronary artery disease, rheumatoid arthritis, and type 2 diabetes, have a polygenic basis and a common assumption is that biological and genetic features affect the outcome under consideration via interactions. In the case of omics data, the use of standard approaches such as generalized linear models may be suboptimal and machine learning methods are appealing to make individual predictions. However, most of these algorithms focus mostly on main or marginal effects of the single features in a dataset. On the other hand, the detection of interacting features is an active area of research in the realm of genetic epidemiology. One big class of algorithms to detect interacting features is based on the multifactor dimensionality reduction (MDR). Here, we further develop the model-based MDR (MB-MDR), a powerful extension of the original MDR algorithm, to enable interaction empowered individual prediction. RESULTS: Using a comprehensive simulation study we show that our new algorithm (median AUC: 0.66) can use information hidden in interactions and outperforms two other state-of-the-art algorithms, namely the Random Forest (median AUC: 0.54) and Elastic Net (median AUC: 0.50), if interactions are present in a scenario of two pairs of two features having small effects. The performance of these algorithms is comparable if no interactions are present. Further, we show that our new algorithm is applicable to real data by comparing the performance of the three algorithms on a dataset of rheumatoid arthritis cases and healthy controls. As our new algorithm is not only applicable to biological/genetic data but to all datasets with discrete features, it may have practical implications in other research fields where interactions between features have to be considered as well, and we made our method available as an R package ( https://github.com/imbs-hl/MBMDRClassifieR ). CONCLUSIONS: The explicit use of interactions between features can improve the prediction performance and thus should be included in further attempts to move precision medicine forward.

Principal components (PCs) are widely used in statistics and refer to a relatively small number of uncorrelated variables derived from an initial pool of variables, while explaining as much of the total variance as possible. Also in statistical genetics, principal component analysis (PCA) is a popular technique. To achieve optimal results, a thorough understanding about the different implementations of PCA is required and their impact on study results, compared to alternative approaches. In this review, we focus on the possibilities, limitations and role of PCs in ancestry prediction, genome-wide association studies, rare variants analyses, imputation strategies, meta-analysis and epistasis detection. We also describe several variations of classic PCA that deserve increased attention in statistical genetics applications.

Genome-wide association studies are moving to genome-wide interaction studies, as the genetic background of many diseases appears to be more complex than previously supposed. Thus, many statistical approaches have been proposed to detect gene-gene (GxG) interactions, among them numerous information theory-based methods, inspired by the concept of entropy. These are suggested as particularly powerful and, because of their nonlinearity, as better able to capture nonlinear relationships between genetic variants and/or variables. However, the introduced entropy-based estimators differ to a surprising extent in their construction and even with respect to the basic definition of interactions. Also, not every entropy-based measure for interaction is accompanied by a proper statistical test. To shed light on this, a systematic review of the literature is presented answering the following questions: (1) How are GxG interactions defined within the framework of information theory? (2) Which entropy-based test statistics are available? (3) Which underlying distribution do the test statistics follow? (4) What are the given strengths and limitations of these test statistics?

Motivation: Random forests are fast, flexible and represent a robust approach to analyze high dimensional data. A key advantage over alternative machine learning algorithms are variable importance measures, which can be used to identify relevant features or perform variable selection. Measures based on the impurity reduction of splits, such as the Gini importance, are popular because they are simple and fast to compute. However, they are biased in favor of variables with many possible split points and high minor allele frequency. Results: We set up a fast approach to debias impurity-based variable importance measures for classification, regression and survival forests. We show that it creates a variable importance measure which is unbiased with regard to the number of categories and minor allele frequency and almost as fast as the standard impurity importance. As a result, it is now possible to compute reliable importance estimates without the extra computing cost of permutations. Further, we combine the importance measure with a fast testing procedure, producing p-values for variable importance with almost no computational overhead to the creation of the random forest. Applications to gene expression and genome-wide association data show that the proposed method is powerful and computationally efficient. Availability and implementation: The procedure is included in the ranger package, available at https://cran.r-project.org/package=ranger and https://github.com/imbs-hl/ranger. Supplementary information: Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.

Complex diseases are defined to be determined by multiple genetic and environmental factors alone as well as in interactions. To analyze interactions in genetic data, many statistical methods have been suggested, with most of them relying on statistical regression models. Given the known limitations of classical methods, approaches from the machine-learning community have also become attractive. From this latter family, a fast-growing collection of methods emerged that are based on the Multifactor Dimensionality Reduction (MDR) approach. Since its first introduction, MDR has enjoyed great popularity in applications and has been extended and modified multiple times. Based on a literature search, we here provide a systematic and comprehensive overview of these suggested methods. The methods are described in detail, and the availability of implementations is listed. Most recent approaches offer to deal with large-scale data sets and rare variants, which is why we expect these methods to even gain in popularity.

BACKGROUND: Random forests have often been claimed to uncover interaction effects. However, if and how interaction effects can be differentiated from marginal effects remains unclear. In extensive simulation studies, we investigate whether random forest variable importance measures capture or detect gene-gene interactions. With capturing interactions, we define the ability to identify a variable that acts through an interaction with another one, while detection is the ability to identify an interaction effect as such. RESULTS: Of the single importance measures, the Gini importance captured interaction effects in most of the simulated scenarios, however, they were masked by marginal effects in other variables. With the permutation importance, the proportion of captured interactions was lower in all cases. Pairwise importance measures performed about equal, with a slight advantage for the joint variable importance method. However, the overall fraction of detected interactions was low. In almost all scenarios the detection fraction in a model with only marginal effects was larger than in a model with an interaction effect only. CONCLUSIONS: Random forests are generally capable of capturing gene-gene interactions, but current variable importance measures are unable to detect them as interactions. In most of the cases, interactions are masked by marginal effects and interactions cannot be differentiated from marginal effects. Consequently, caution is warranted when claiming that random forests uncover interactions.

Validation of genetic associations is understood to be a cornerstone for the scientific credibility of the results. To approach this topic, the general concept of genetic association studies is introduced briefly, followed by how the term 'validation' is used in the context of genetic association studies. As a central issue, reasons for the importance of validation and for failure of validation will be described.

Bioinformatics (2010) 26(14), 1752–1758 The authors would like to apologize for a typing error in formulas 3 and 4.

MOTIVATION: Genome-wide association (GWA) studies have proven to be a successful approach for helping unravel the genetic basis of complex genetic diseases. However, the identified associations are not well suited for disease prediction, and only a modest portion of the heritability can be explained for most diseases, such as Type 2 diabetes or Crohn's disease. This may partly be due to the low power of standard statistical approaches to detect gene-gene and gene-environment interactions when small marginal effects are present. A promising alternative is Random Forests, which have already been successfully applied in candidate gene analyses. Important single nucleotide polymorphisms are detected by permutation importance measures. To this day, the application to GWA data was highly cumbersome with existing implementations because of the high computational burden. RESULTS: Here, we present the new freely available software package Random Jungle (RJ), which facilitates the rapid analysis of GWA data. The program yields valid results and computes up to 159 times faster than the fastest alternative implementation, while still maintaining all options of other programs. Specifically, it offers the different permutation importance measures available. It includes new options such as the backward elimination method. We illustrate the application of RJ to a GWA of Crohn's disease. The most important single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) validate recent findings in the literature and reveal potential interactions. AVAILABILITY: The RJ software package is freely available at http://www.randomjungle.org