This paper presents an analysis of a large-scale, high-dimensional industrial dataset containing over 2 million data points collected over several months. The dataset includes more than 200 failures of various types, each resulting from complex causes. Utilizing state-of-the-art unsupervised multivariate anomaly detection algorithms, a system was developed that predicts failures several minutes in advance, introducing a new evaluation metric termed lead time. This system also identifies the location and potential causes of these failures. Initial application of current anomaly detection algorithms yielded low F1 scores, due to either low recall or low precision. To address this issue, a visual reasoning framework was created to reduce false positives by analyzing motifs and discords in the top-N anomalous signals contributing to the anomaly. We find that the human-in-the-loop approach enhances the precision and F1-score of multivariate algorithms by leveraging human judgment for final decision-making. Another key finding is that the LSTM-based anomaly detection algorithm achieves sufficient lead time for the industrial failure prediction studied in this paper.

We consider the problem of length generalization in sequence prediction. We define a new metric of performance in this setting – the Asymmetric-Regret– which measures regret against a benchmark predictor with longer context length than available to the learner. We continue by studying this concept through the lens of the spectral filter-ing algorithm. We present a gradient-based learn-ing algorithm that provably achieves length generalization for linear dynamical systems. We conclude with proof-of-concept experiments which are consistent with our theory.

Adversarial attacks pose a critical threat to the reliability of machine learning models, potentially undermining trust in practical applications. As machine learning models find deployment in vital domains like autonomous vehicles, healthcare, and finance, they become susceptible to adversarial examples—crafted inputs that induce erroneous high-confidence predictions. These attacks fall into two main categories: white-box, with full knowledge of model architecture, and black-box, with limited or no access to internal details. This paper introduces a novel approach for targeted adversarial attacks in black-box scenarios. By combining genetic algorithms and gradient-based fine-tuning, our method efficiently explores input space for perturbations without requiring access to internal model details. Subsequently, gradient-based fine-tuning optimizes these perturbations, aligning them with the target model’s decision boundary. This dual strategy aims to evolve perturbations that effectively mislead target models while minimizing queries, ensuring stealthy attacks. Results demonstrate the efficacy of GenGradAttack, achieving a remarkable 95.06% Adversarial Success Rate (ASR) on MNIST with a median query count of 556. In contrast, conventional GenAttack achieved 100% ASR but required significantly more queries. When applied to InceptionV3 and Ens4AdvInceptionV3 on ImageNet, GenGradAttack outperformed GenAttack with 100% and 96% ASR, respectively, and fewer median queries. These results highlight the efficiency and effectiveness of our approach in generating adversarial examples with reduced query counts, advancing our understanding of adversarial vulnerabilities in practical contexts.

We design differentially private regret-minimizing algorithms in the online convex optimization (OCO) framework. Unlike recent results, our algorithms and analyses do not require smoothness, thus yielding the first private regret bounds with an optimal leading-order term for non-smooth loss functions. Additionally, even for smooth losses, the resulting regret guarantees improve upon previous results in terms their dependence of dimension. Our results provide the best known rates for DP-OCO in all practical regimes of the privacy parameter, barring when it is exceptionally small. The principal innovation in our algorithm design is the use of sampling from strongly log-concave densities which satisfy the Log-Sobolev Inequality. The resulting concentration of measure allows us to obtain a better trade-off for the dimension factors than prior work, leading to improved results. Following previous works on DP-OCO, the proposed algorithm explicitly limits the number of switches via rejection sampling. Thus, independently of privacy constraints, the algorithm also provides improved results for online convex optimization with a switching budget.

We study the sample complexity of reducing reinforcement learning to a sequence of empirical risk minimization problems over the policy space. Such reductions-based algorithms exhibit local convergence in the function space, as opposed to the parameter space for policy gradient algorithms, and thus are unaffected by the possibly non-linear or discontinuous parameterization of the policy class. We propose a variance-reduced variant of Conservative Policy Iteration that improves the sample complexity of producing a $\varepsilon$-functional local optimum from $O(\varepsilon^{-4})$ to $O(\varepsilon^{-3})$. Under state-coverage and policy-completeness assumptions, the algorithm enjoys $\varepsilon$-global optimality after sampling $O(\varepsilon^{-2})$ times, improving upon the previously established $O(\varepsilon^{-3})$ sample requirement.

We study the task of differentially private online convex optimization (OCO). In the online setting, the release of each distinct decision or iterate carries with it the potential for privacy loss. To limit such privacy leakage, we design an optimization-based OCO algorithm that explicitly limits the number of switches via objective perturbation and rejection sampling. This improves over known results in multiple aspects: an optimal leading-order regret term, in being efficiently implementable without requiring log-concave sampling subroutines, and in matching the non-private regret bound for sub-constant regimes of privacy parameters. Leveraging the fact that the algorithm is designed to explicitly minimize the number of switches of decisions, we show that the algorithm also obtains optimal regret bounds in the lazy OCO setting, where the learner is constrained to perform a limited number of switches. In addition, for one- and two-dimensional decision sets, we present a novel approach for differentially private online Lipschitz learning, where the loss functions are Lipschitz but not necessarily convex, that achieves the optimal regret bound matching known lower bounds.

We consider collaborative multi-user reinforcement learning, where multiple users have the same state-action space and transition probabilities but different rewards. Under the assumption that the reward matrix of the $N$ users has a low-rank structure – a standard and practically successful assumption in the collaborative filtering setting – we design algorithms with significantly lower sample complexity compared to the ones that learn the MDP individually for each user. Our main contribution is an algorithm which explores rewards collaboratively with $N$ user-specific MDPs and can learn rewards efficiently in two key settings: tabular MDPs and linear MDPs. When $N$ is large and the rank is constant, the sample complexity per MDP depends logarithmically over the size of the state-space, which represents an exponential reduction (in the state-space size) when compared to the standard “non-collaborative” algorithms. Our main technical contribution is a method to construct policies which obtain data such that low rank matrix completion is possible (without a generative model). This goes beyond the regular RL framework and is closely related to mean field limits of multi-agent RL.

This paper demonstrates an alternative approach that utilizes Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) Doppler measurement in a Kalman Filter (KF) to improve the accuracy of GNSS smartphone positioning. The proposed method automates the process of estimating the uncertainty of the dynamics model of the system, which is still a challenge for the conventional KF-based GNSS positioning methods that require heuristic tuning. Additionally, the paper also shows the advantages attained from automating the estimation of the motion/dynamics model for GNSS outlier detection or Fault Detection and Exclusion (FDE).

Multiclass logistic regression is a fundamental task in machine learning with applications in classification and boosting. Previous work (Foster et al., 2018) has highlighted the importance of improper predictors for achieving “fast rates” in the online multiclass logistic regression problem without suffering exponentially from secondary problem parameters, such as the norm of the predictors in the comparison class. While Foster et al. (2018) introduced a statistically optimal algorithm, it is in practice computationally intractable due to its run-time complexity being a large polynomial in the time horizon and dimension of input feature vectors. In this paper, we develop a new algorithm, FOLKLORE, for the problem which runs significantly faster than the algorithm of Foster et al. (2018)–the running time per iteration scales quadratically in the dimension–at the cost of a linear dependence on the norm of the predictors in the regret bound. This yields the first practical algorithm for online multiclass logistic regression, resolving an open problem of Foster et al. (2018). Furthermore, we show that our algorithm can be applied to online bandit multiclass prediction and online multiclass boosting, yielding more practical algorithms for both problems compared to the ones in Foster et al. (2018) with similar performance guarantees. Finally, we also provide an online-to-batch conversion result for our algorithm.

We revisit the classical online portfolio selection problem. It is widely assumed that a trade-off between computational complexity and regret is unavoidable, with Cover’s Universal Portfolios algorithm, SOFT-BAYES and ADA-BARRONS currently constituting its state-of-the-art Pareto frontier. In this paper, we present the first efficient algorithm, BISONS, that obtains polylogarithmic regret with memory and per-step running time requirements that are polynomial in the dimension, displacing ADA-BARRONS from the Pareto frontier. Additionally, we resolve a COLT 2020 open problem by showing that a certain Follow-The-Regularized-Leader algorithm with log-barrier regularization suffers an exponentially larger dependence on the dimension than previously conjectured. Thus, we rule out this algorithm as a candidate for the Pareto frontier. We also extend our algorithm and analysis to a more general problem than online portfolio selection, viz. online learning of quantum states with log loss. This algorithm, called SCHRODINGER’S-BISONS, ibs the first efficient algorithm with polylogarithmic regret for this more general problem.

We study the role of depth in training randomly initialized overparameterized neural networks. We give a general result showing that depth improves trainability of neural networks by improving the conditioning of certain kernel matrices of the input data. This result holds for arbitrary non-linear activation functions under a certain normalization. We provide versions of the result that hold for training just the top layer of the neural network, as well as for training all layers, via the neural tangent kernel. As applications of these general results, we provide a generalization of the results of Das et al. (2019) showing that learnability of deep random neural networks with a large class of non-linear activations degrades exponentially with depth. We also show how benign overfitting can occur in deep neural networks via the results of Bartlett et al. (2019b). We also give experimental evidence that normalized versions of ReLU are a viable alternative to more complex operations like Batch Normalization in training deep neural networks.

In practical applications of iterative first-order optimization, the learning rate schedule remains notoriously difficult to understand and expensive to tune. We demonstrate the presence of these subtleties even in the innocuous case when the objective is a convex quadratic. We reinterpret an iterative algorithm from the numerical analysis literature as what we call the Chebyshev learning rate schedule for accelerating vanilla gradient descent, and show that the problem of mitigating instability leads to a fractal ordering of step sizes. We provide some experiments to challenge conventional beliefs about stable learning rates in deep learning: the fractal schedule enables training to converge with locally unstable updates which make negative progress on the objective.

We consider the setting of iterative learning control, or model-based policy learning in the presence of uncertain, time-varying dynamics. In this setting, we propose a new performance metric, planning regret, which replaces the standard stochastic uncertainty assumptions with worst case regret. Based on recent advances in non-stochastic control, we design a new iterative algorithm for minimizing planning regret that is more robust to model mismatch and uncertainty. We provide theoretical and empirical evidence that the proposed algorithm outperforms existing methods on several benchmarks.

We introduce the multi-dimensional Skellam mechanism, a discrete differential privacy mechanism based on the difference of two independent Poisson random variables. To quantify its privacy guarantees, we analyze the privacy loss distribution via a numerical evaluation and provide a sharp bound on the Rényi divergence between two shifted Skellam distributions. While useful in both centralized and distributed privacy applications, we investigate how it can be applied in the context of federated learning with secure aggregation under communication constraints. Our theoretical findings and extensive experimental evaluations demonstrate that the Skellam mechanism provides the same privacy-accuracy trade-offs as the continuous Gaussian mechanism, even when the precision is low. More importantly, Skellam is closed under summation and sampling from it only requires sampling from a Poisson distribution -- an efficient routine that ships with all machine learning and data analysis software packages. These features, along with its discrete nature and competitive privacy-accuracy trade-offs, make it an attractive practical alternative to the newly introduced discrete Gaussian mechanism.

Given a matrix $\mathbf{A}\in\R^{n\times d}$ and a vector $b\in\R^{d}$, we show how to compute an $\epsilon$-approximate solution to the regression problem $ \min_{x\in\R^{d}}\frac{1}{2} \norm{\mathbf{A} x-b}_{2}^{2} $ in time $ \widetilde{O} ((n+\sqrt{d\cdot\kappa_{\text{sum}}}) s \log\epsilon^{-1}) $ where $\kappa_{\text{sum}}=\tr\left(\mathbf{A}^{\top}\mathbf{A}\right)/\lambda_{\min}(\mathbf{A}^{\top}\mathbf{A})$ and $s$ is the maximum number of non-zero entries in a row of $\mathbf{A}$. This improves upon the previous best running time of $ \widetilde{O} ((n+\sqrt{n \cdot\kappa_{\text{sum}}}) s \log\epsilon^{-1})$. We achieve our result through an interesting combination of leverage score sampling, proximal point methods, and accelerated coordinate descent methods. Further, we show that our method not only matches the performance of previous methods up to polylogarithmic factors, but further improves whenever leverage scores of rows are small. We also provide a non-linear generalization of these results that improves the running time for solving a broader class of ERM problems and expands the set of ERM problems provably solvable in nearly linear time.

We study the question of how to aggregate controllers for dynamical systems in order to improve their performance. To this end, we propose a framework of boosting for online control. Our main result is an efficient boosting algorithm that combines weak controllers into a provably more accurate one. Empirical evaluation on a host of control settings supports our theoretical findings.

State-of-the-art optimization is steadily shifting towards massively parallel pipelines with extremely large batch sizes. As a consequence, CPU-bound preprocessing and disk/memory/network operations have emerged as new performance bottlenecks, as opposed to hardware-accelerated gradient computations. In this regime, a recently proposed approach is data echoing (Choi et al., 2019), which takes repeated gradient steps on the same batch while waiting for fresh data to arrive from upstream. We provide the first convergence analyses of "data-echoed" extensions of common optimization methods, showing that they exhibit provable improvements over their synchronous counterparts. Specifically, we show that in convex optimization with stochastic minibatches, data echoing affords speedups on the curvature-dominated part of the convergence rate, while maintaining the optimal statistical rate.

We consider online learning in an adversarial, non-convex setting under the assumption that the learner has an access to an offline optimization oracle. In the general setting of prediction with expert advice, Hazan and Koren established that in the optimization-oracle model, online learning requires exponentially more computation than statistical learning. In this paper we show that by slightly strengthening the oracle model, the online and the statistical learning models become computationally equivalent. Our result holds for any Lipschitz and bounded (but not necessarily convex) function. As an application we demonstrate how the offline oracle enables efficient computation of an equilibrium in non-convex games, that include GAN (generative adversarial networks) as a special case.

Adaptive regularization methods pre-multiply a descent direction by a preconditioning matrix. Due to the large number of parameters of machine learning problems, full-matrix preconditioning methods are prohibitively expensive. We show how to modify full-matrix adaptive regularization in order to make it practical and effective. We also provide a novel theoretical analysis for adaptive regularization in non-convex optimization settings. The core of our algorithm, termed GGT, consists of the efficient computation of the inverse square root of a low-rank matrix. Our preliminary experiments show improved iteration-wise convergence rates across synthetic tasks and standard deep learning benchmarks, and that the more carefully-preconditioned steps sometimes lead to a better solution.

We study the control of linear dynamical systems with adversarial disturbances, as opposed to statistical noise. We present an efficient algorithm that achieves nearly-tight regret bounds in this setting. Our result generalizes upon previous work in two main aspects: the algorithm can accommodate adversarial noise in the dynamics, and can handle general convex costs.

We study optimal regret bounds for control in linear dynamical systems under adversarially changing strongly convex cost functions, given the knowledge of transition dynamics. This includes several well studied and influential frameworks such as the Kalman filter and the linear quadratic regulator. State of the art methods achieve regret which scales as T^0.5, where T is the time horizon. We show that the optimal regret in this fundamental setting can be significantly smaller, scaling as polylog(T). This regret bound is achieved by two different efficient iterative methods, online gradient descent and online natural gradient.

A $k$-lift of an $n$-vertex base graph $G$ is a graph $H$ on $n\times k$ vertices, where each vertex $v$ of $G$ is replaced by $k$ vertices $v_1,\ldots,v_k$ and each edge $uv$ in $G$ is replaced by a matching representing a bijection $\pi_{uv}$ so that the edges of $H$ are of the form $(u_i,v_{\pi_{uv}(i)})$. Lifts have been investigated as a means to efficiently construct expanders. In this work, we study lifts obtained from groups and group actions. We derive the spectrum of such lifts via the representation theory principles of the underlying group. Our main results are 1. a uniform random lift by a cyclic group of order $k$ of any $n$-vertex $d$-regular base graph $G$, with the nontrivial eigenvalues of the adjacency matrix of $G$ bounded by $\lambda$ in magnitude, has the new nontrivial eigenvalues bounded by $\lambda+\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{d})$ in magnitude with probability $1-ke^{-\Omega(n/d^2)}$. The probability bounds as well as the dependency on $\lambda$ are almost optimal. As a special case, we obtain that there is a constant $c_1$ such that for every $k\leq 2^{c_1n/d^2}$, there exists a lift $H$ of every Ramanujan graph by a cyclic group of order $k$ such that $H$ is almost Ramanujan (nontrivial eigenvalues of the adjacency matrix at most $O(\sqrt{d})$ in magnitude). This result leads to a quasi-polynomial time deterministic algorithm to construct almost Ramanujan expanders; 2. there is a constant $c_2$ such that for every $k\geq 2^{c_2nd}$, there does not exist an abelian $k$-lift $H$ of any $n$-vertex $d$-regular base graph such that $H$ is almost Ramanujan. This can be viewed as an analogue of the well-known nonexpansion result for constant degree abelian Cayley graphs. Suppose $k_0$ is the order of the largest abelian group that produces expanding lifts. Our two results highlight lower and upper bounds on $k_0$ that are tight up to a factor of $d^3$ in the exponent, thus suggesting a threshold phenomenon.

State-of-the-art methods in mathematical optimization employ higher-order derivative information. We explore the limitations of higher-order optimization and prove that even for convex optimization, a polynomial dependence on the approximation guarantee and higher-order smoothness parameters is necessary. This refutes the hope that higher-order smoothness and higher-order derivatives can lead to dimension free polynomial time algorithms for convex optimization. As a special case, we show Nesterov’s accelerated cubic regularization method and higher-order methods to be nearly tight.

Distributed stochastic gradient descent is an important subroutine in distributed learning. A setting of particular interest is when the clients are mobile devices, where two important concerns are communication efficiency and the privacy of the clients. Several recent works have focused on reducing the communication cost or introducing privacy guarantees, but none of the proposed communication efficient methods are known to be privacy preserving and none of the known privacy mechanisms are known to be communication efficient. To this end, we study algorithms that achieve both communication efficiency and differential privacy. For $d$ variables and $n \approx d$ clients, the proposed method uses $\cO(\log \log(nd))$ bits of communication per client per coordinate and ensures constant privacy. We also improve previous analysis of the \emph{Binomial mechanism} showing that it achieves nearly the same utility as the Gaussian mechanism, while requiring fewer representation bits, which can be of independent interest.

We design differentially private algorithms for the problem of online linear optimization in the full information and bandit settings with optimal $O(T^{0.5})$ regret bounds. In the full-information setting, our results demonstrate that $\epsilon$-differential privacy may be ensured for free – in particular, the regret bounds scale as $O(T^{0.5}+1/\epsilon)$. For bandit linear optimization, and as a special case, for non-stochastic multi-armed bandits, the proposed algorithm achieves a regret of $O(T^{0.5}/\epsilon)$, while the previously best known regret bound was $O(T^{2/3}/\epsilon)$.

We design a non-convex second-order optimization algorithm that is guaranteed to return an approximate local minimum in time which scales linearly in the underlying dimension and the number of training examples. The time complexity of our algorithm to find an approximate local minimum is even faster than that of gradient descent to find a critical point. Our algorithm applies to a general class of optimization problems including training a neural network and other non-convex objectives arising in machine learning.

First-order stochastic methods are the state-of-the-art in large-scale machine learning optimization owing to efficient per-iteration complexity. Second-order methods, while able to provide faster convergence, have been much less explored due to the high cost of computing the second-order information. In this paper we develop second-order stochastic methods for optimization problems in machine learning that match the per- iteration cost of gradient based methods, and in certain settings improve upon the overall running time over popular first-order methods. Furthermore, our algorithm has the desirable property of being implementable in time linear in the sparsity of the input data.

The Indian Retail Market is witnessing a revolution. The growth of internet has enabled the new retail format of the virtual retailer to emerge and forced the existing retailers to consider e-tailing model of retailing as well. A large number of consumers frequently use the Internet for shopping purposes but its' not clear what drives them to shop online. This study captures the important factors affecting the success and effectiveness of e-tailing sites to propose a unifying framework that could eventually guide research in this area and prove beneficial for e-tailers and e-marketers as well.