Time series forecasting under distribution shift remains challenging, as existing deep learning models often rely on local statistical normalization (e.g., mean and variance) that fails to capture global distribution shift. Methods like RevIN and its variants attempt to decouple distribution and pattern but still struggle with missing values, noisy observations, and invalid channel-wise affine transformation. To address these limitations, we propose Affine Prototype-Timestamp(APT), a lightweight and flexible plug-in module that injects global distribution features into the normalization–forecasting pipeline. By leveraging timestamp-conditioned prototype learning, APT dynamically generates affine parameters that modulate both input and output series, enabling the backbone to learn from self-supervised, distribution-aware clustered instances. APT is compatible with arbitrary forecasting backbones and normalization strategies while introducing minimal computational overhead. Extensive experiments across six benchmark datasets and multiple backbone-normalization combinations demonstrate that APT significantly improves forecasting performance under distribution shift.

Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF) involves predicting future values of multiple interrelated time series. Recently, deep learning-based MTSF models have gained significant attention for their promising ability to mine semantics (global and local information) within MTS data. However, these models are pervasively susceptible to missing values caused by malfunctioning data collectors. These missing values not only disrupt the semantics of MTS, but their distribution also changes over time. Nevertheless, existing models lack robustness to such issues, leading to suboptimal forecasting performance. To this end, in this paper, we propose Multi-View Representation Learning (Merlin), which can help existing models achieve semantic alignment between incomplete observations with different missing rates and complete observations in MTS. Specifically, Merlin consists of two key modules: offline knowledge distillation and multi-view contrastive learning. The former utilizes a teacher model to guide a student model in mining semantics from incomplete observations, similar to those obtainable from complete observations. The latter improves the student model's robustness by learning from positive/negative data pairs constructed from incomplete observations with different missing rates, ensuring semantic alignment across different missing rates. Therefore, Merlin is capable of effectively enhancing the robustness of existing models against unfixed missing rates while preserving forecasting accuracy. Experiments on four real-world datasets demonstrate the superiority of Merlin.

Spatio-temporal trajectory representation learning plays a crucial role in various urban applications such as transportation systems, urban planning, and environmental monitoring. Existing methods can be divided into single-view and multi-view approaches, with the latter offering richer representations by integrating multiple sources of spatio-temporal data. However, these methods often struggle to generalize across diverse urban scenes due to multi-city structural heterogeneity, which arises from the disparities in road networks, grid layouts, and traffic regulations across cities, and the amplified seesaw phenomenon, where optimizing for one city, view, or task can degrade performance in others. These challenges hinder the deployment of trajectory learning models across multiple cities, limiting their real-world applicability. In this work, we propose SMARTraj$^2$, a novel stable multi-city adaptive method for multi-view spatio-temporal trajectory representation learning. Specifically, we introduce a feature disentanglement module to separate domain-invariant and domain-specific features, and a personalized gating mechanism to dynamically stabilize the contributions of different views and tasks. Our approach achieves superior generalization across heterogeneous urban scenes while maintaining robust performance across multiple downstream tasks. Extensive experiments on benchmark datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of SMARTraj$^2$ in enhancing cross-city generalization and outperforming state-of-the-art methods. See our project website at \url{https://github.com/GestaltCogTeam/SMARTraj}.

Multivariate Time Series (MTS) analysis is crucial to understanding and managing complex systems, such as traffic and energy systems, and a variety of approaches to MTS forecasting have been proposed recently. However, we often observe inconsistent or seemingly contradictory performance findings across different studies. This hinders our understanding of the merits of different approaches and slows down progress. We address the need for means of assessing MTS forecasting proposals reliably and fairly, in turn enabling better exploitation of MTS as seen in different applications. Specifically, we first propose BasicTS+, a benchmark designed to enable fair, comprehensive, and reproducible comparison of MTS forecasting solutions. BasicTS+ establishes a unified training pipeline and reasonable settings, enabling an unbiased evaluation. Second, we identify the heterogeneity across different MTS as an important consideration and enable classification of MTS based on their temporal and spatial characteristics. Disregarding this heterogeneity is a prime reason for difficulties in selecting the most promising technical directions. Third, we apply BasicTS+ along with rich datasets to assess the capabilities of more than 30 MTS forecasting solutions. This provides readers with an overall picture of the cutting-edge research on MTS forecasting.

Large-scale Multivariate Time Series(MTS) widely exist in various real-world systems, imposing significant demands on model efficiency. A recent work, STID, addressed the high complexity issue of popular Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Networks(STGNNs). Despite its success, when applied to large-scale MTS data, the number of parameters of STID for modeling spatial dependencies increases substantially, leading to over-parameterization issues and suboptimal performance. These observations motivate us to explore new approaches for modeling spatial dependencies in a parameter-friendly manner. In this paper, we argue that the spatial properties of variables are essentially the superposition of multiple cluster centers. Accordingly, we propose a Cluster-Aware Network(CANet), which effectively captures spatial dependencies by mining the implicit cluster centers of variables. CANet solely optimizes the cluster centers instead of the spatial information of all nodes, thereby significantly reducing the parameter amount. Extensive experiments on two large-scale datasets validate our motivation and demonstrate the superiority of CANet.

Multivariate time series long-term prediction, which aims to predict the change of data in a long time, can provide references for decision-making. Although transformer-based models have made progress in this field, they usually do not make full use of three features of multivariate time series: global information, local information, and variables correlation. To effectively mine the above three features and establish a high-precision prediction model, we propose a double sampling transformer (DSformer), which consists of the double sampling (DS) block and the temporal variable attention (TVA) block. Firstly, the DS block employs down sampling and piecewise sampling to transform the original series into feature vectors that focus on global information and local information respectively. Then, TVA block uses temporal attention and variable attention to mine these feature vectors from different dimensions and extract key information. Finally, based on a parallel structure, DSformer uses multiple TVA blocks to mine and integrate different features obtained from DS blocks respectively. The integrated feature information is passed to the generative decoder based on a multi-layer perceptron to realize multivariate time series long-term prediction. Experimental results on nine real-world datasets show that DSformer can outperform eight existing baselines.

The prevalent adoptions of GPS-enabled devices have witnessed an explosion of various location-based services which produces a huge amount of trajectories monitoring the individuals' movements. In this paper, we tackle Trajectory-User Link (TUL) problem, which identifies humans' movement patterns and links trajectories to the users who generated them. Existing solutions on TUL problem employ recurrent neural networks and variational autoencoder methods, which face the bottlenecks in the case of excessively long trajectories and fragmentary users' movements. However, these are common characteristics of trajectory data in reality, leading to performance degradation of the existing models. In this paper, we propose an end-to-end attention recurrent neural learning framework, called TULAR (Trajectory-User Link with Attention Recurrent Networks), which focus on selected parts of the source trajectories when linking. TULAR introduce the Trajectory Semantic Vector (TSV) via unsupervised location representation learning and recurrent neural networks, by which to reckon the weight of parts of source trajectory. Further, we employ three attention scores for the weight measurements. Experiments are conducted on two real world datasets and compared with several existing methods, and the results show that TULAR yields a new state-of-the-art performance. Source code is public available at GitHub: https://github.com/taos123/TULAR.

Trajectory-user linking (TUL), whereby a trajectory is linked to its owner in location-based social networks, is a fundamental and critical task in spatio-temporal data mining. It plays a key role in personalized recommendation, anomaly detection, and semantic trajectory mining. Existing methods for TUL are either rule-based methods, which link trajectories and users based on conventional trajectory similarities, or learning-based methods, which learn a classification model to map trajectories to their owners. However, rule-based methods ignore the semantic information in the trajectory sequence, and learning-based methods require retraining the model each time a new user is added. In this paper, we propose a Siamese network-based model for trajectory-user linking (TULSN), which uses a Siamese network to capture semantic information in the trajectory, and instead of retraining the model, it requires only a few labeled trajectories per user to identify the user category of the trajectory. The experimental results show that the TULSN outperforms existing baselines and state-of-the-art methods on real-world datasets.