Time series anomaly detection is typically used to identify data that deviates significantly from normal data, often indicating faults or failures in the underlying system, thus facilitating system stability and safety. Most existing methods focus on detecting anomalies after they occur, while research on predicting future anomalies remains scarce. Before anomalies manifest themselves, there are often subtle precursors exhibiting slight deviations from normal behavior, with varying reaction times and intensities. Next, the setting is often characterized by a lack of labeled data, which complicates model training. To address these challenges, we propose a time series anomaly prediction framework, TAP. It can adapt flexibly to varying reaction times of anomaly precursors across different variables using a period-aware multi-scale module, and it is able to strengthen the distinction between precursors and normal sequences via a dual-branch framework that combines reconstruction and contrastive learning. The contrastive branch employs a controlled generation strategy within the multi-scale patching to produce diverse hard negative samples for precursor identification. The reconstruction branch complements this by evaluating fluctuation magnitudes to ensure sensitivity to subtle variations. We report on experiments on eight datasets from diverse domains, finding that TAP is capable of competitive or superior performance compared to baseline methods for both anomaly detection and prediction.

Accurate land deformation prediction using InSAR (Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar) technology is crucial for early warning of geological disasters. However, existing prediction methods face two major challenges: cross-area association bottleneck and inadequate handling of temporal distribution heterogeneity. To address these challenges, we propose Multi-modal Adaptive Association Learning framework (MAAL). For the spatial knowledge transfer challenge, we introduce a cross-area multi-modal association learning module that integrates multi-modal (InSAR and geological text) data to enable knowledge transfer between areas with similar geological characteristics. For temporal distribution heterogeneity, we develop an adaptive evolution stage recognition module that uses distribution routers to identify different temporal patterns, then applies corresponding linear extractors to model the heterogeneous landslide evolution. Experimental validation on 889 hazardous areas demonstrates that MAAL outperforms baselines.

Time series anomaly detection (TSAD) plays an important role in many domains such as finance, transportation, and healthcare. With the ongoing instrumentation of reality, more time series data will be available, leading also to growing demands for TSAD. While many TSAD methods already exist, new and better methods are still desirable. However, effective progress hinges on the availability of reliable means of evaluating new methods and comparing them with existing methods. We address deficiencies in current evaluation procedures related to datasets and experimental settings and protocols. Specifically, we propose a new time series anomaly detection benchmark, called TAB. First, TAB encompasses 29 public multivariate datasets and 1,635 univariate time series from different domains to facilitate more comprehensive evaluations on diverse datasets. Second, TAB covers a variety of TSAD methods, including Non-learning, Machine learning, Deep learning, LLM-based, and Time-series pre-trained methods. Third, TAB features a unified and automated evaluation pipeline that enables fair and easy evaluation of TSAD methods. Finally, we employ TAB to evaluate existing TSAD methods and report on the outcomes, thereby offering a deeper insight into the performance of these methods.

Nextpoint-of-interest (POI) recommendation has received widespread attention in recent years due to its superiority of recommending where users will go to next. However, there exist two limitations in many recommendation methods: (1) the hardness of modeling users' short-term preferences adaptively based on input sequence; (2) the efficient learning of the joint information between users' long- and short-term preferences. To this end, we propose an attention mechanism and adaptive convolution actuated fusion network (AMACF) innovatively, which optimizes forecast effectiveness of user preference. To better model some contextual information such as category, temporal, we utilize long- and short-term memory network to learn contextual features of POIs in historical check-ins and embed self-attention mechanism to capture users' preference in the long-term module. In the short-term module, for capturing the complicated interest, the adaptive convolution network (Ada-CN) is novelly proposed, which applies the attention mechanism to aggregate multiple parallel convolution kernels selectively and adjust to short-term preference according to users' continuously updated check-ins. Furthermore, an attention-based fusion mechanism is designed to combine long- and short-term preferences, where contributions to the next POI of different users are evaluated sufficiently. Experimental results on two real-world data sets indicates that AMACF outperforms baseline methods for next POI recommendation.